Clinical Decision Support

Individualised surgical risk prediction for skull base meningioma

An evidence-based tool that estimates a patient's risk of post-operative complications from routinely available pre-operative variables. Complete a short structured form and receive calibrated, model-derived probabilities to support — not replace — your clinical judgement.

4
Predicted outcomes
Multi-model
Benchmarked & selected
Pre-operative
Inputs only
What the tool predicts

Four clinically meaningful post-operative outcomes

Each estimate is produced by a model trained and validated specifically for that outcome, then expressed as an individual probability for the patient you describe.

30-Day Complications

Probability of any complication occurring within 30 days of surgery.

KPS Worsening at Discharge

Probability of a decline in Karnofsky Performance Status by hospital discharge.

New Neurological Deficits

Probability of new post-operative neurological deficits attributable to surgery.

Severe Complication

Probability of a severe or life-threatening post-operative complication.

How it works

Transparent, benchmarked, and clinically grounded

The predictions draw on a curated registry of operated skull base meningiomas. For every outcome, several model families are trained and compared, and the best-performing model is retained for use in this tool.

1

Structured input

You enter pre-operative variables — demographics, functional status, imaging findings and anatomical involvement — through a guided form.

2

Validated models

Multiple algorithms are trained per outcome with temporal validation, and ranked by discrimination (ROC-AUC) before the strongest is selected.

3

Calibrated estimate

The model returns an individual probability, shown against the operating decision threshold chosen during validation.

4

Clinical interpretation

Results are presented as Low / Moderate / High bands to aid communication, always alongside the underlying percentage.

For use by qualified clinicians. These estimates reflect statistical patterns in historical data. They are intended to support shared decision-making and must always be interpreted within the complete clinical context of the individual patient.
Interactive tool

Surgical Risk Calculator

Choose a model configuration, describe the patient, and review the predicted risks.

Select Assessment Configuration

Choose the trained model set you wish to use for this patient evaluation.

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